Ukraine: 21 Months of Displacement – What Do We Know So Far?

It is now about 21 months ago that Russia attacked Ukraine. The war is already dragging on longer than many initially assumed. As a result, several million Ukrainians and no few foreign residents in Ukraine were displaced internally and internationally, including a large number who were deported to Russia many of whom are now trying to move on. Some of the displaced persons moved on to other countries whereas others even return home. On the one hand, the duration of the war prolongs the period of uncertainty for displaced persons whilst on the other hand compels people to make plans, at least for the near future.

Initially, research and policy relied on assumptions and scenarios, ad hoc observations, provisional and often flawed statistics and non-representative surveys. Meanwhile, however, more and more studies and surveys are coming out that are scientifically sound and thus represent reliable evidence for policy making.

We aimed to (a) take stock of the state of research on migration and integration of displaced persons in and from Ukraine and identify emerging trends and results, even if only preliminary, (b) facilitate feeding evidence into the public domain, and (c) identify research gaps and encourage future research collaboration. To this end we organised a two-day workshop - on-site, online and hybrid.

The expert workshop on Monday 27 and Tuesday 28 was upon invitation only.

The panel debate on Monday 27.11. 5-7pm, was open to the public and will be streamed on our Youtube-Channel soon.

Monday, November 27, 2023
13:00 - 13:15
Arrival / Login
13:15 - 13:30
Welcome & Introduction

Marcel Berlinghoff & Franck Düvell

13:30 - 15:00
Panel 1.1: State of Research: Comparative Perspective (1): EU

Marta Jaroszewicz (University of Warsaw): Poland

Dušan Drbohlav, Josef Novotný, Anna Levková and Tereza Chmelařová (Charles University, Prague): Czechia

Bernd Parusel (SIEPS, Stockholm): Sweden

Lucinda Fonseca (Lisbon University): Portugal

Chair: Viktoria Sereda (Forum Transregionale Studien, Berlin)

15:15 - 16:45
Panel 1.2: State of Research: Comparative Perspective (2): Non-EU

Osman Bahadır Dincer and Zeynep Sahin Mencutek (BICC, Bonn): Moldavia

Hasan Basri Bülbül (Boğaziçi University, Istanbul): Turkey

Juanita Molano and Martin Geiger (Carleton University, Ottawa): Canada

Chair: Marcel Berlinghoff (IMIS, Osnabrück)

17:15 - 18:45
Panel 2: Stay or Return? Options, Interests and Policy Responses (public event)

Dariia Andryunina (Ukrainian Ministry of Economy)

Hans-Ulrich Benra (German Ministry of Interior)

Martin Wagner (ICMPD)

Ave Lauren (OECD)

Nataliya Pryhornytska (Ukraine Alliance)

Chair: Franck Düvell (IMIS, Osnabrück)

Tuesday, November 28, 2023
09:30 - 11:00
Panel 3: State of Research: Recent Empirical Research Findings (1)

Steffen Pötzschke (GESIS, Mannheim): Family and the Intention to Stay -- A Comparison of Ukrainian Refugees in Germany and Poland

Kerstin Tanis; Manuel Siegert (BAMF, Nürnberg): Regional Distribution, Mobility and Housing of Ukrainian Refugees in Germany

Nora Ratzmann (DeZIM-Institute, Berlin): Integrating when on the move? Ukrainian refugee women’s perspectives of settlement in Berlin and Munich

Oksana Mikheieva (European University Viadrina, Frankfurt/O): Internally displaced and immobile people in Ukraine between 2014 and 2022: Older age and disabilities as factors of vulnerability

Chair: Marcel Berlinghoff (IMIS, Osnabrück)

11:30 - 13:00
Panel 4: State of Research: Recent Empirical Research Findings (2)

Aleksandra Ancite-Jepifánova [former: Jolkina] (Forum Transregionale Studien, Berlin): Between shifting borders and boundaries: Russian invasion of Ukraine, families and migration law

Mariella Falkenhain, Maya Kim (IAB, Nürnberg): Ukrainian refugees on their way into the German labour society: A qualitative longitudinal study

Irina Lapshyna (IMIS, Osnabrück): The role of Ukrainian diaspora in refugee reception: case of Germany

Yulyia Kosyakova (IAB, Nürnberg): Ukrainian Refugees in Germany: Evidence From a Large Representative Survey

Chair: Lidia Kuzemska (Forum Transregionale Studien, Berlin)

13:00 - 13:15

Franck Düvell

14:00 - 16:00
FFVT Ukraine Expert Group

Research Gaps, future research plans